Economic Calendar
Global Economic Calendar
Real-time tracking of key economic events, indicators, and market-moving news from major global economies.
Economics Database
Historical economic data & release schedule
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Historical Data
Economic Database
Explore historical trends of key economic indicators across major global economies. Visualize GDP, inflation, interest rates, and more.
🇺🇸 United StatesInflation Rate (YoY %)
Source: World Bank Open Data
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Fed Watch
Federal Reserve Expectations
Analysis of the probability of changes to the Federal Funds Rate as implied by 30-Day Fed Funds futures prices.
CME FedWatch Tool
Conditional Meeting Probabilities (%)
Market Expectations Implied by 30-Day Fed Funds Futures
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| Meeting Date | 175-200 | 200-225 | 225-250 | 250-275 | 275-300 | 300-325 | 325-350 | 350-375 | 375-400 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/3/18 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.5% | 96.5% | 0.0% |
| 2026/4/29 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 17.0% | 82.5% | 0.0% |
| 2026/6/17 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 7.7% | 45.6% | 46.5% | 0.0% |
| 2026/7/29 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 2.9% | 21.5% | 45.9% | 29.6% | 0.0% |
| 2026/9/16 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.6% | 13.1% | 34.9% | 37.0% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| 2026/10/28 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 5.4% | 20.3% | 35.6% | 29.1% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| 2026/12/9 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 2.4% | 10.9% | 25.9% | 33.2% | 21.8% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| 2027/1/27 | 0.0% | 0.5% | 3.3% | 12.6% | 26.7% | 31.9% | 19.9% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| 2027/3/17 | 0.1% | 0.8% | 4.3% | 14.0% | 27.2% | 30.7% | 18.4% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| 2027/4/28 | 0.1% | 0.8% | 4.3% | 14.0% | 27.2% | 30.7% | 18.4% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| 2027/6/9 | 0.1% | 0.9% | 4.7% | 14.6% | 27.4% | 30.2% | 17.8% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| 2027/7/28 | 0.1% | 0.9% | 4.5% | 14.2% | 26.8% | 30.0% | 18.4% | 4.9% | 0.2% |
| 2027/9/15 | 0.1% | 0.9% | 4.4% | 13.9% | 26.5% | 29.9% | 18.7% | 5.3% | 0.3% |
| 2027/10/27 | 0.1% | 0.8% | 4.1% | 13.0% | 25.3% | 29.6% | 19.7% | 6.5% | 0.8% |
| 2027/12/8 | 0.2% | 1.5% | 6.0% | 15.7% | 26.2% | 27.5% | 16.9% | 5.3% | 0.6% |
Highest Probability
Other Probabilities
Source: CME Group FedWatch Tool • Target Rate (bps)